Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Ford Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | HOU | +3.0 | 196.5 | +142 |
| 714 | OKC | -3.0 | -157 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okla City | Power Rating Model | Okla City 65% odds to win | |
| Okla City | Similar Games - Game Winners | Okla City 56% odds to win | |
| Okla City | Decision Tree | Okla City 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC -2.5 | Power Rating Model | Okla City wins by 3.6 | |
| OKC -3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Okla City 58% odds to cover | |
| HOU +3.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 196.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 196.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC -134 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.4% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.291 | 0.331 | |
| Points/Game | 101.9 | 100.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +3.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.005 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 47.7% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.294 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.5 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 6.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.3% | 19.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-31 | 42-25 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 8-3 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 22-18 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 20-14 | 22-11 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 20-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-35-0 | 40-27-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 22-18-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 18-15-0 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 22-12-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||