Game Information
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | HOU | -2.0 | 203.5 | -127 |
| 702 | TOR | +2.0 | +115 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 60% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Similar Games - Game Winners | Toronto 50% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -1.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 2.5 | |
| TOR +2.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 64% odds to cover | |
| HOU -2.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 203.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 203.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -108 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.080 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.2% | 52.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.4% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.291 | 0.332 | |
| Points/Game | 101.8 | 104.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | -1.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.099 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 51.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.2% | 72.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.6 | 105.9 | |
| Block % | 4.7% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.3% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-31 | 32-33 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 23-18 | |
| Streak | W3 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 19-14 | 22-10 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 10-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-35-0 | 29-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 7-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-20-0 | 19-22-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 1-9-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 13-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||