Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 16, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 | HOU | +8.5 | 211.0 | +358 |
| 520 | DEN | -8.5 | -415 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 63% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 77% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +8.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 3.1 | |
| DEN -8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 50% odds to cover | |
| HOU +8.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 211.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 211.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +330 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 107.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.3 | +5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.3 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 47-23 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 30-6 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-36-0 | 31-34-5 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 17-18-1 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||