Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 | HOU | +5.5 | 198.0 | +193 |
| 520 | DAL | -5.5 | -215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 63% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 70% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +5.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 3.1 | |
| DAL -5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Dallas 53% odds to cover | |
| HOU +5.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 198.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 198.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +193 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.062 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 50.3% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.280 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 101.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.3 | +2.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 49.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.3 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 17.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 46-22 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 24-10 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-36-0 | 28-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 7-26-1 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||