Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 10, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | HOU | +6.5 | 200.0 | +235 |
| 510 | DAL | -6.5 | -265 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 59% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 57% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 2.1 | |
| HOU +6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 57% odds to cover | |
| DAL -6.5 | Decision Tree | Dallas 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 200.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 200.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +235 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.061 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.4% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.1% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.279 | |
| Points/Game | 101.9 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.5 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 6.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 17.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32 | 46-23 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 24-11 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-36-0 | 28-40-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 7-27-1 | |
| Away | 16-17-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||