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Houston at LA Lakers

  Friday Apr 6, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA | Odds: Los Angeles by 6, Total Points: 195 | Team Pages: HOU | LAL

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU LAL
Points 132.5 85.9
Total Points   218.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 63.5 8.2
Points From Free Throws 37.5 32.2

Shooting HOU LAL
Field Goals Made 36.9 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 69.9 75.9
Field Goal % 52.8% 33.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 65.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 34.6%
3 Pointers Made 21.2 2.7
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 10.0
3 Point Shooting % 57.3% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 37.5 32.2
Free Throws Attempted 53.8 39.4
Free Throw % 69.8% 81.7%

Ball Control HOU LAL
Rebounds 56.6 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 16.2 14.2
Turnovers 9.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 1.2
Steals 5.6 5.9
Fouls 28.4 27.0

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU LAL
Total Possessions 95.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 100.2

% of Possessions with HOU LAL
2 Point Attempt 29.3% 59.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 9.1%
Player Fouled 28.2% 29.7%
Turnover 9.4% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken HOU LAL
Shot Blocked 1.6% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 37.5% 26.1%