Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2009 |
| Time | 9:30 PM |
| Location | Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | HOU | +9.0 | 201.0 | +385 |
| 708 | LAL | -9.0 | -450 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lakers | Power Rating Model | LA Lakers 68% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Similar Games - Game Winners | LA Lakers 86% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +9.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 4.8 | |
| LAL -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | LA Lakers 52% odds to cover | |
| LAL -9.0 | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 201.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 201.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +385 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.060 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.2% | 49.8% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.4% | 27.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.291 | 0.286 | |
| Points/Game | 101.8 | 102.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | +6.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 0.998 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 48.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.2% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.264 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.6 | 97.0 | |
| Block % | 4.7% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.3% | 18.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-31 | 49-18 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 11-2 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 28-11 | |
| Streak | W3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 19-14 | 30-5 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 19-13 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-35-0 | 28-36-3 | |
| vs Division | 7-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-20-0 | 16-22-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 15-18-0 | 15-18-2 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||