Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 13, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | HOU | -5.0 | 207.5 | -194 |
| 714 | SAC | +5.0 | +174 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 59% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 77% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento loses by 2.1 | |
| SAC +5.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 61% odds to cover | |
| SAC +5.0 | Decision Tree | Sacramento 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 207.5 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go under 207.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +174 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.027 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 28.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.298 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 100.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.3 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.069 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 72.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.324 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.3 | 105.0 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 5.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 23-46 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 3-10 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 14-29 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 17-18 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-36-0 | 34-32-3 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 24-16-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 16-18-1 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||