Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, February 9, 2010 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | HOU | +5.5 | 192.5 | +180 |
| 510 | MIA | -5.5 | -200 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 56% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 68% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 1.3 | |
| HOU +5.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 60% odds to cover | |
| HOU +5.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 192.0 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go over 192.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +180 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.4% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.1% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 101.9 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.4 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.5 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-36-0 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 16-17-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||