Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 4, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Verizon Center, Washington, DC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | TOR | +3.5 | 216.0 | +136 |
| 502 | WAS | -3.5 | -148 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | Power Rating Model | Washington 57% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games - Game Winners | Washington 53% odds to win | |
| Washington | Decision Tree | Washington 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 1.5 | |
| TOR +3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 55% odds to cover | |
| TOR +3.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 216.0 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 216.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +137 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.012 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.9% | 47.8% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.8% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.288 | |
| Points/Game | 103.8 | 96.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.0 | -4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 99.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.098 | 1.062 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.9% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 11.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.2% | 72.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.316 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.8 | 101.1 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-34 | 21-46 | |
| vs Division | 9-4 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | W1 | L10 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 12-22 | |
| Away | 11-23 | 9-24 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-38-0 | 28-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 18-24-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 13-21-0 | |
| Away | 14-20-0 | 15-16-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||