Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | US Airways Center, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | TOR | +7.5 | 232.5 | +273 |
| 706 | PHO | -7.5 | -310 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 72% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 57% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 6.2 | |
| TOR +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 60% odds to cover | |
| PHO -7.5 | Decision Tree | Phoenix 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 232.5 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 232.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +273 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.080 | 1.111 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.0% | 54.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.4% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.8% | 27.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.309 | |
| Points/Game | 104.0 | 109.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | +3.4 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.099 | 1.076 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.1% | 49.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 11.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.4% | 70.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.316 | 0.291 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.9 | 106.0 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 18.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-33 | 41-26 | |
| vs Division | 8-4 | 11-4 | |
| vs Conference | 23-18 | 26-16 | |
| Streak | L5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 22-10 | 25-9 | |
| Away | 10-23 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-36-0 | 38-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 19-22-0 | 25-17-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-16-0 | 19-15-0 | |
| Away | 13-20-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||