Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 17, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | TOR | +10.0 | 219.0 | +392 |
| 712 | DEN | -10.0 | -459 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 72% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 76% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +10.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 6.3 | |
| TOR +10.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 51% odds to cover | |
| TOR +10.0 | Decision Tree | Toronto 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 219.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 219.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +392 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.9% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.8% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 103.8 | 107.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.0 | +5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.098 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.9% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.2% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.316 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.8 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-34 | 47-23 | |
| vs Division | 9-4 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 30-6 | |
| Away | 11-23 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-38-0 | 31-34-5 | |
| vs Division | 7-6-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 17-18-1 | |
| Away | 14-20-0 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||