| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | EnergySolutions Arena, Salt Lake City, UT |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 | TOR | +7.5 | 212.5 | +297 |
| 520 | UTA | -7.5 | -340 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | Power Rating Model | Utah 53% odds to win | |
| Utah | Similar Games - Game Winners | Utah 68% odds to win | |
| Utah | Decision Tree | Utah 69% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 0.7 | |
| TOR +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 58% odds to cover | |
| TOR +7.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 52% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 212.5 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 212.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +297 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 22% different from model |
| Stat | TOR | adv | UTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.078 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.8% | 52.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 13.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 26.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.343 | |
| Points/Game | 103.9 | 103.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.2 | +5.4 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.7 |
| Stat | TOR | adv | UTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.100 | 1.022 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.1% | 49.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 13.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 75.0% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.315 | 0.352 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 98.2 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 6.3% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| Record | TOR | adv | UTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-34 | 44-25 | |
| vs Division | 8-4 | 7-8 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 26-18 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 27-8 | |
| Away | 10-23 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | TOR | adv | UTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-38-0 | 42-24-3 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 6-7-2 | |
| vs Conference | 19-23-0 | 25-17-2 | |
| Streak | L5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 23-10-2 | |
| Away | 13-20-0 | 19-14-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||