Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 6, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 | TOR | +4.5 | 206.5 | +173 |
| 516 | NOR | -4.5 | -183 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Rating Model | New Orleans 58% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 68% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Decision Tree | New Orleans 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 1.9 | |
| TOR +4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 56% odds to cover | |
| TOR +4.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 206.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 206.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +173 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.041 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.8% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 24.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.241 | |
| Points/Game | 103.9 | 100.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.2 | -2.3 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.100 | 1.065 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.1% | 51.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.315 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 4.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-34 | 33-37 | |
| vs Division | 8-4 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 22-22 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 10-23 | 12-25 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-38-0 | 32-37-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 19-23-0 | 18-25-1 | |
| Streak | L5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 13-20-0 | 18-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||