Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 15, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | TOR | +6.5 | 206.0 | +227 |
| 706 | MIA | -6.5 | -255 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 60% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 67% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +7.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 2.3 | |
| MIA -6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 60% odds to cover | |
| MIA -6.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 206.0 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 206.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +239 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.9% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.8% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 103.8 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.0 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.098 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.2% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.316 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.8 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-34 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 9-4 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 11-23 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-38-0 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-6-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 14-20-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||