Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 2, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 | TOR | +9.0 | 212.0 | +396 |
| 506 | ATL | -9.0 | -450 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 75% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 85% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +9.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 7.3 | |
| ATL -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 54% odds to cover | |
| TOR +9.0 | Decision Tree | Toronto 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 212.0 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 212.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +396 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.088 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.8% | 50.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 10.9% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 28.0% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 103.9 | 102.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.2 | +4.8 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.100 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.1% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 72.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.315 | 0.278 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 97.5 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 6.3% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 19.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-34 | 44-24 | |
| vs Division | 8-4 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 25-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 27-7 | |
| Away | 10-23 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-38-0 | 39-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 19-23-0 | 24-16-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 20-14-0 | |
| Away | 13-20-0 | 19-15-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||