Toronto at Memphis: Box Score Simulation

Friday Mar 16, 2012 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Memphis by 10, Total Points: 187

Matchup Menu: TOR @ MEM

More Games From Mar 16, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOR MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 90.4
Field Goal % 47.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 39.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.7
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.6%
Ball Control TOR MEM
Rebounds 49.1 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 14.1
Turnovers 14.2 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 7.4
Steals 7.7 7.4
Fouls 16.9 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOR MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 32.7%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.4%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR MEM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 27.7%