Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | TOR | +9.5 | 203.0 | +461 |
| 708 | BOS | -9.5 | -550 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 69% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 83% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +9.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 5.1 | |
| TOR +9.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 57% odds to cover | |
| TOR +9.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 203.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 203.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +461 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.077 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.9% | 52.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.8% | 22.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 103.8 | 98.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.0 | +4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.098 | 0.997 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.2% | 14.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.2% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.316 | 0.332 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.8 | 94.1 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-34 | 45-24 | |
| vs Division | 9-4 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 30-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 23-11 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 11-23 | 24-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-38-0 | 29-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-6-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 21-23-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 16-18-0 | 10-22-1 | |
| Away | 14-20-0 | 19-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||