Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Verizon Center, Washington, DC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | DET | +3.5 | 184.5 | +138 |
| 504 | WAS | -3.5 | -153 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | Power Rating Model | Washington 52% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games - Game Winners | Washington 56% odds to win | |
| Washington | Decision Tree | Washington 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 0.5 | |
| WAS -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Washington 51% odds to cover | |
| DET +3.5 | Decision Tree | Detroit 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 184.5 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go over 184.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +138 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.016 | 1.014 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.0% | 47.9% | |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 30.9% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.305 | 0.288 | |
| Points/Game | 93.5 | 96.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | -4.8 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 99.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.070 | 1.064 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.7% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 72.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.346 | 0.312 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.5 | 101.4 | |
| Block % | 5.1% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 22.2% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 21-45 | |
| vs Division | 2-11 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 15-26 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | L4 | L9 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 16-19 | 12-22 | |
| Away | 7-27 | 9-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-39-2 | 27-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 3-9-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 16-23-2 | 18-24-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 15-19-1 | 13-21-0 | |
| Away | 13-20-1 | 14-16-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||