Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 | DET | +10.0 | 180.5 | +451 |
| 524 | POR | -10.0 | -537 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 78% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 92% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +10.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 8.4 | |
| POR -10.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 50% odds to cover | |
| POR -10.0 | Decision Tree | Portland 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 180.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 180.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +534 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.017 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.0% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.0% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.307 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 93.6 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.071 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.5% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.7% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.346 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.6 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 5.2% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 22.1% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 2-11 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 15-26 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L4 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 16-19 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 7-27 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-39-2 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-9-1 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 16-23-2 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 15-19-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 13-20-1 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||