Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 15, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | DET | +5.5 | 188.5 | +225 |
| 710 | HOU | -5.5 | -253 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 69% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 64% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 5.0 | |
| HOU -5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 51% odds to cover | |
| HOU -5.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 188.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 188.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -200 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.016 | 1.043 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.0% | 49.4% | |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 30.9% | 27.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.305 | 0.291 | |
| Points/Game | 93.5 | 101.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | +0.4 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.070 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.7% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.346 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.5 | 101.5 | |
| Block % | 5.1% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 22.2% | 19.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-45 | 35-31 | |
| vs Division | 2-10 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 15-25 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | L3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 16-19 | 20-14 | |
| Away | 7-26 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-38-2 | 31-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-8-1 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 16-22-2 | 23-20-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 15-19-1 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 13-19-1 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||