Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | DET | +7.5 | 193.0 | +295 |
| 502 | TOR | -7.5 | -325 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | Power Rating Model | Toronto 56% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Similar Games - Game Winners | Toronto 73% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Decision Tree | Toronto 70% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 1.3 | |
| DET +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Detroit 54% odds to cover | |
| DET +7.5 | Decision Tree | Detroit 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 193.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +295 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 19% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.014 | 1.080 | |
| Effective FG % | 46.9% | 52.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.4% | 12.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.1% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.303 | 0.332 | |
| Points/Game | 93.4 | 104.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.6 | -1.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.5 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.064 | 1.099 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.5% | 51.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.5% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.7% | 72.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.344 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.9 | 105.9 | |
| Block % | 5.1% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 22.2% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-43 | 32-33 | |
| vs Division | 2-9 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 15-23 | 23-18 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 16-18 | 22-10 | |
| Away | 7-25 | 10-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-36-2 | 29-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-7-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 16-20-2 | 19-22-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 1-9-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-1 | 16-16-0 | |
| Away | 13-18-1 | 13-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||