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Detroit at Utah

  Monday Mar 12, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: Utah by 6.5, Total Points: 192 | Team Pages: DET | UTA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET UTA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting DET UTA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 80.3
Field Goal % 41.4% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 61.4 59.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.4
Free Throw % 71.3% 71.5%

Ball Control DET UTA
Rebounds 47.4 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 13.5
Turnovers 11.0 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 6.1
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 16.6 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET UTA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with DET UTA
2 Point Attempt 55.5% 54.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 19.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.6%
Turnover 11.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken DET UTA
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 29.0%