Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 16, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 | DET | +5.5 | 189.5 | +205 |
| 516 | NOR | -5.5 | -230 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Rating Model | New Orleans 53% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 63% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Decision Tree | New Orleans 69% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 0.7 | |
| NOR -5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | New Orleans 63% odds to cover | |
| NOR -5.5 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 189.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 189.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +184 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.017 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.0% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.0% | 24.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.307 | 0.242 | |
| Points/Game | 93.6 | 99.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | -2.6 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.071 | 1.067 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.5% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.7% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.346 | 0.270 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.6 | 102.4 | |
| Block % | 5.2% | 4.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 22.1% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 33-38 | |
| vs Division | 2-11 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 15-26 | 22-23 | |
| Streak | L4 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 16-19 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 7-27 | 12-26 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-39-2 | 32-38-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-9-1 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 16-23-2 | 18-26-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 15-19-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 13-20-1 | 18-19-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||