Detroit at Memphis

  Saturday Mar 3, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN | Odds: Memphis by 8, Total Points: 187 | Team Pages: DET | MEM

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET MEM
Points 74.9 86.4
Total Points   161.3
Points From 2-Pointers 49.4 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 10.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 19.3

Shooting DET MEM
Field Goals Made 29.7 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 85.9
Field Goal % 34.8% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 71.2 68.8
2 Point Shooting % 34.7% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 20.3%
Free Throws Made 10.5 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 25.8
Free Throw % 57.9% 75.0%

Ball Control DET MEM
Rebounds 60.0 57.6
Rebounds - Defensive 42.6 42.6
Rebounds - Offensive 17.4 15.0
Turnovers 20.5 14.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.2
Steals 3.5 7.6
Fouls 22.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET MEM
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 102.2

% of Possessions with DET MEM
2 Point Attempt 59.1% 58.2%
3 Point Attempt 11.8% 14.5%
Player Fouled 16.6% 21.8%
Turnover 20.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 3.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken DET MEM
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 26.0%