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Detroit at Milwaukee

  Monday Jan 30, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI | Odds: Milwaukee by 7.5, Total Points: 182 | Team Pages: DET | MIL

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET MIL
Points 86.3 97.6
Total Points   183.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 14.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 25.3

Shooting DET MIL
Field Goals Made 35.0 33.8
Field Goals Attempted 106.4 82.7
Field Goal % 32.9% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 85.2 72.7
2 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 10.0
3 Point Shooting % 24.7% 48.1%
Free Throws Made 11.1 25.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 28.9
Free Throw % 59.7% 87.5%

Ball Control DET MIL
Rebounds 68.3 56.1
Rebounds - Defensive 45.7 52.5
Rebounds - Offensive 22.6 3.6
Turnovers 9.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 11.1 4.4
Steals 3.3 7.6
Fouls 21.2 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET MIL
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 117.8 96.4

% of Possessions with DET MIL
2 Point Attempt 66.0% 64.5%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 8.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.3%
Turnover 9.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 3.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken DET MIL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 7.2%