Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 12, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Verizon Center, Washington, DC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | IND | +7.5 | 206.5 | +289 |
| 502 | WAS | -7.5 | -330 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | Power Rating Model | Washington 65% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games - Game Winners | Washington 73% odds to win | |
| Washington | Decision Tree | Washington 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +7.0 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 3.8 | |
| IND +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 59% odds to cover | |
| IND +7.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 206.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 206.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +252 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.996 | 1.012 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.4% | 47.8% | |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.6% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.288 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 96.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.9 | -4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 99.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.062 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 72.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.356 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 101.1 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 21-46 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | W1 | L10 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 16-16 | 12-22 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 9-24 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-0 | 28-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 18-24-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 16-16-0 | 13-21-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 15-16-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||