Game Information
| Date | Monday, November 30, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 | IND | +2.5 | 228.0 | +125 |
| 508 | GST | -2.5 | -135 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State | Power Rating Model | Golden State 64% odds to win | |
| Golden State | Similar Games - Game Winners | Golden State 60% odds to win | |
| Indiana | Decision Tree | Indiana 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST -2.5 | Power Rating Model | Golden State wins by 3.5 | |
| IND +2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 54% odds to cover | |
| IND +2.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 228.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 228.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST -133 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.996 | 1.047 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.4% | 51.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.6% | 21.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.296 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 108.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.9 | -3.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.085 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 52.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 14.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 68.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.356 | 0.348 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 112.0 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 4.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 19-49 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 4-9 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 10-31 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 16-16 | 15-20 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 4-29 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-0 | 39-28-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 23-18-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-16-0 | 21-14-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 18-14-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||