Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | IND | +12.0 | 204.0 | +621 |
| 714 | SAN | -12.0 | -775 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 78% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 93% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +11.5 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 8.6 | |
| SAN -12.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 59% odds to cover | |
| IND +12.0 | Decision Tree | Indiana 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 204.0 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 204.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +671 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.996 | 1.070 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.4% | 51.5% | |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.6% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.288 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 101.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.9 | +5.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.017 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 76.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.356 | 0.282 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 96.2 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 5.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 41-26 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 25-17 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 16-16 | 25-10 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 16-16 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-0 | 34-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 22-19-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 16-16-0 | 20-14-1 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 14-18-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||