Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | IND | +5.5 | 216.0 | +210 |
| 502 | TOR | -5.5 | -235 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | Power Rating Model | Toronto 75% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Similar Games - Game Winners | Toronto 75% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Decision Tree | Toronto 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -5.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto wins by 7.5 | |
| IND +5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 55% odds to cover | |
| IND +5.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 216.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 216.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -206 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.077 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.5% | 51.9% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.7% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 99.9 | 103.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.5 | -2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.8 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.098 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.1% | 50.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.2% | 72.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.354 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 105.8 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 5.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 24-46 | 34-34 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 17-16 | 23-11 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 11-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-36-0 | 30-38-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 20-23-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 17-16-0 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 14-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||