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Indiana at Orlando

  Saturday May 5, 2012 - 2:00 pm - Orlando, FL | Odds: Indiana by 5, Total Points: 181.5 | Team Pages: IND | ORL

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND ORL
Points 79.7 67.1
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 13.3
Points From Free Throws 22.7 22.3

Shooting IND ORL
Field Goals Made 25.1 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 86.0
Field Goal % 28.1% 23.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 72.6 72.3
2 Point Shooting % 25.4% 21.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 22.7 22.3
Free Throws Attempted 33.5 29.5
Free Throw % 67.9% 75.6%

Ball Control IND ORL
Rebounds 77.6 60.0
Rebounds - Defensive 54.2 47.3
Rebounds - Offensive 23.4 12.8
Turnovers 10.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 14.3 3.1
Steals 5.7 4.8
Fouls 21.3 26.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND ORL
Total Possessions 98.6
Effective Scoring Chances 111.0 100.0

% of Possessions with IND ORL
2 Point Attempt 58.9% 61.8%
3 Point Attempt 13.8% 11.7%
Player Fouled 26.5% 21.6%
Turnover 11.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 5.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken IND ORL
Shot Blocked 3.8% 16.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 19.1%