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Indiana at Orlando

  Saturday May 5, 2012 - 2:00 pm - Orlando, FL | Odds: Indiana by 5, Total Points: 181.5 | Team Pages: IND | ORL

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND ORL
Points 94.0 92.7
Total Points   186.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 59.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 20.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 12.1

Shooting IND ORL
Field Goals Made 36.0 36.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 84.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 62.0 66.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 17.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 71.3%

Ball Control IND ORL
Rebounds 53.9 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 8.9
Turnovers 12.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 8.4 4.0
Steals 3.3 6.0
Fouls 17.0 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND ORL
Total Possessions 94.7
Effective Scoring Chances 96.0 92.7

% of Possessions with IND ORL
2 Point Attempt 56.4% 62.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 16.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.9%
Turnover 13.0% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 3.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken IND ORL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 18.0%