Game Information
| Date | Monday, December 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Amway Arena, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | IND | +12.5 | 208.0 | +925 |
| 502 | ORL | -12.5 | -1300 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | Power Rating Model | Orlando 83% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Similar Games - Game Winners | Orlando 93% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Decision Tree | Orlando 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +12.0 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 11.2 | |
| IND +12.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 57% odds to cover | |
| IND +12.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 208.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 208.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +850 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.996 | 1.073 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.4% | 52.9% | |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 13.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.6% | 24.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.343 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 102.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.9 | +6.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.000 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 47.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 77.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.356 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 95.1 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 49-21 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 9-5 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 33-12 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 16-16 | 28-7 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 21-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-0 | 38-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 26-19-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-16-0 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 18-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||