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Indiana at New York

  Friday Mar 16, 2012 - 7:30 pm - New York, NY | Odds: New York by 4.5, Total Points: 197 | Team Pages: IND | NYK

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NYK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting IND NYK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 79.9 81.9
Field Goal % 44.7% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 63.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 21.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.3%

Ball Control IND NYK
Rebounds 51.7 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.8
Turnovers 12.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 5.6 6.2
Fouls 18.7 21.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NYK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with IND NYK
2 Point Attempt 54.0% 58.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 17.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.5%
Turnover 13.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken IND NYK
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 21.3%