Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | IND | +4.5 | 226.5 | +178 |
| 510 | NYC | -4.5 | -191 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York | Power Rating Model | New York 62% odds to win | |
| New York | Similar Games - Game Winners | New York 74% odds to win | |
| New York | Decision Tree | New York 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 3.1 | |
| IND +4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 64% odds to cover | |
| IND +4.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 226.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 226.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +178 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.996 | 1.041 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.4% | 50.6% | |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.6% | 22.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.251 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 101.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.9 | -2.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.7 | 99.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.045 | 1.071 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 51.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 72.0% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.356 | 0.275 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.4 | 104.4 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 24-46 | 25-45 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 5-9 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25 | 18-28 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 17-16 | 15-22 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 10-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-36-0 | 32-37-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-8-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21-0 | 21-25-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 17-16-0 | 17-20-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 15-17-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||