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Indiana at Sacramento

  Wednesday Jan 18, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA | Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 191 | Team Pages: IND | SAC

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND SAC
Points 99.1 97.1
Total Points   196.2
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 15.3
Points From Free Throws 15.7 37.7

Shooting IND SAC
Field Goals Made 38.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 76.5 80.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 33.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 67.4
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 32.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 13.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 37.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 46.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 81.6%

Ball Control IND SAC
Rebounds 45.0 53.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 19.2
Turnovers 13.5 8.6
Blocked Shots 8.2 1.2
Steals 4.9 7.1
Fouls 23.8 24.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +1.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND SAC
Total Possessions 96.0
Effective Scoring Chances 89.6 106.6

% of Possessions with IND SAC
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 56.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 11.0%
Player Fouled 25.9% 24.7%
Turnover 14.0% 8.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken IND SAC
Shot Blocked 1.5% 10.8%
Offensive Rebound 16.9% 33.6%