Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 2, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 | IND | +2.0 | 216.5 | +118 |
| 518 | SAC | -2.0 | -128 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Power Rating Model | Sacramento 70% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 62% odds to win | |
| Indiana | Decision Tree | Indiana 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -1.5 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento wins by 5.6 | |
| IND +2.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 52% odds to cover | |
| IND +2.0 | Decision Tree | Indiana 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 216.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 216.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -119 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.993 | 1.027 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.1% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.2% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.7% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.290 | 0.300 | |
| Points/Game | 99.6 | 100.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | -4.2 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.070 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.0% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.2% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.355 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.5 | 104.9 | |
| Block % | 6.7% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-43 | 22-43 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 16-22 | 13-27 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 14-16 | 16-15 | |
| Away | 7-27 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-35-0 | 33-29-3 | |
| vs Division | 3-8-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-20-0 | 23-14-3 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 14-16-0 | 15-15-1 | |
| Away | 15-19-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||