Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, October 28, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 | IND | +7.5 | 205.5 | +350 |
| 704 | ATL | -7.5 | -380 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 65% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 67% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 3.8 | |
| ATL -7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 51% odds to cover | |
| IND +7.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 205.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 205.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +350 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.994 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.2% | 50.6% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 10.9% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.7% | 27.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.290 | |
| Points/Game | 99.5 | 102.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | +4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.8 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.044 | 1.037 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.4% | 72.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.355 | 0.280 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.5 | 97.5 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 6.3% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 19.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-46 | 43-24 | |
| vs Division | 3-10 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 17-25 | 24-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 15-16 | 26-7 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-36-0 | 39-28-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-8-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-21-0 | 24-15-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 15-16-0 | 20-13-0 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 19-15-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||