| Date | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 | IND | +6.0 | 209.5 | +218 |
| 516 | MEM | -6.0 | -245 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | Power Rating Model | Memphis 65% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Similar Games - Game Winners | Memphis 71% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Decision Tree | Memphis 68% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +6.0 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 3.9 | |
| MEM -6.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 61% odds to cover | |
| IND +6.0 | Decision Tree | Indiana 55% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 209.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 209.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +218 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
| Stat | IND | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.994 | 1.056 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.2% | 49.7% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.7% | 31.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.317 | |
| Points/Game | 99.5 | 102.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.0 | -0.7 | |
| SOS PR | 99.8 | 100.0 |
| Stat | IND | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.044 | 1.063 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.4% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.355 | 0.271 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.5 | 103.1 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 5.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| Record | IND | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-46 | 36-33 | |
| vs Division | 3-10 | 3-8 | |
| vs Conference | 17-25 | 18-24 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 15-16 | 21-15 | |
| Away | 7-30 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | IND | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-36-0 | 35-32-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-8-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-21-0 | 19-23-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 15-16-0 | 16-18-2 | |
| Away | 17-20-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||