Game Information
| Date | Thursday, October 29, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | DEN | +7.5 | 200.5 | +325 |
| 504 | POR | -7.5 | -355 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 59% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 67% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Denver loses by 2.2 | |
| POR -7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 53% odds to cover | |
| POR -7.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 200.5 | Decision Tree | 59% odds to go under 200.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +325 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 17% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 107.5 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.2 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.7% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.4% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-23 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 30-6 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-34-5 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-18-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||