Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 25, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | DEN | -8.5 | 203.5 | -400 |
| 714 | MIN | +8.5 | +346 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 83% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 73% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 77% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -8.5 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 11.3 | |
| MIN +8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Minnesota 58% odds to cover | |
| MIN +8.5 | Decision Tree | Minnesota 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 203.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 203.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -453 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.090 | 0.986 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.4% | 47.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.5% | 27.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.274 | |
| Points/Game | 107.7 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.3 | -9.5 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.082 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 52.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 12.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.6% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.321 | 0.286 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 107.6 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 4.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 18.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-22 | 14-56 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 3-12 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 7-38 | |
| Streak | W2 | L12 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 30-5 | 9-25 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 5-31 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-33-5 | 33-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 7-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 22-22-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 17-17-1 | 17-16-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 16-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||