Our Week 9 NFL contest for $2,249 in guaranteed prizes is open! Claim Your Spot Now

Denver at Houston

  Monday Apr 16, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 4.5, Total Points: 207 | Team Pages: DEN | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN HOU
Points 79.6 78.3
Total Points   157.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 10.2 20.5
Points From Free Throws 27.6 19.3

Shooting DEN HOU
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 77.0 75.3
Field Goal % 31.6% 34.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 61.4 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 34.0% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 21.9% 24.0%
Free Throws Made 27.6 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 37.2 27.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 69.8%

Ball Control DEN HOU
Rebounds 64.8 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 42.9 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 21.9 10.7
Turnovers 17.9 16.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.9
Steals 5.6 6.0
Fouls 20.9 27.1

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +3.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN HOU
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 92.0

% of Possessions with DEN HOU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 12.9% 25.7%
Player Fouled 27.7% 21.3%
Turnover 18.3% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken DEN HOU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.7% 20.0%