Denver at Houston

  Friday Mar 2, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 3.5, Total Points: 204 | Team Pages: DEN | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN HOU
Points 83.4 89.8
Total Points   173.3
Points From 2-Pointers 46.1 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 7.5 32.9
Points From Free Throws 29.8 20.7

Shooting DEN HOU
Field Goals Made 25.6 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 77.9 76.2
Field Goal % 32.8% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 64.3 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 35.9% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 2.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 18.4% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 29.8 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 40.2 29.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 69.7%

Ball Control DEN HOU
Rebounds 57.0 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 42.5
Rebounds - Offensive 15.8 11.2
Turnovers 11.2 14.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 5.9 3.0
Fouls 22.5 28.6

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +2.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN HOU
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 94.6

% of Possessions with DEN HOU
2 Point Attempt 56.0% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 11.8% 31.5%
Player Fouled 29.2% 22.9%
Turnover 11.4% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 3.1% 6.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken DEN HOU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 21.4%