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Denver at Sacramento

  Wednesday Jan 25, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA | Odds: Denver by 6, Total Points: 205 | Team Pages: DEN | SAC

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN SAC
Points 100.8 76.1
Total Points   176.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.9 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 5.5
Points From Free Throws 25.9 21.5

Shooting DEN SAC
Field Goals Made 35.0 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 70.3 70.4
Field Goal % 49.8% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 69.3% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 1.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 18.6% 10.3%
Free Throws Made 25.9 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 34.9 29.0
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.3%

Ball Control DEN SAC
Rebounds 48.0 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.4
Turnovers 22.9 26.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.3
Steals 9.4 7.9
Fouls 26.0 25.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +3.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN SAC
Total Possessions 106.5
Effective Scoring Chances 92.1 88.1

% of Possessions with DEN SAC
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 15.3%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.4%
Turnover 21.5% 25.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken DEN SAC
Shot Blocked 3.3% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 17.6%