Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | DEN | -1.0 | 204.0 | -115 |
| 512 | NOR | +1.0 | +104 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 63% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 68% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Decision Tree | New Orleans 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -1.0 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 3.2 | |
| NOR +1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | New Orleans 65% odds to cover | |
| NOR +1.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 204.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 204.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -113 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.087 | 1.043 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.4% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.9% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.1% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.390 | 0.243 | |
| Points/Game | 107.7 | 99.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.0 | -1.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.063 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.3% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.4% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.321 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.6 | 101.8 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 4.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-21 | 32-33 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 26-14 | 21-18 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 28-5 | 21-11 | |
| Away | 15-16 | 11-22 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-30-5 | 30-34-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 16-19-5 | 16-22-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 17-15-1 | 14-18-0 | |
| Away | 12-15-4 | 16-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||