Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 6, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | DEN | -1.0 | 202.0 | -110 |
| 512 | MIA | +1.0 | +100 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 55% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 51% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -1.0 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 1.2 | |
| DEN -1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 58% odds to cover | |
| MIA +1.0 | Decision Tree | Miami 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 202.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 202.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -110 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 107.5 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.2 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.7% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.4% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-23 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 30-6 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-34-5 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 17-18-1 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||