Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | DEN | +3.0 | 210.5 | +131 |
| 702 | ATL | -3.0 | -141 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 57% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 63% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +3.0 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 1.5 | |
| DEN +3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 55% odds to cover | |
| ATL -3.0 | Decision Tree | Atlanta 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 210.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 210.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +131 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 50.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 10.9% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 28.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 107.5 | 102.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.2 | +4.8 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.038 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 50.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.7% | 72.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 97.7 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 6.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.4% | 19.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-23 | 45-24 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 25-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 30-6 | 28-7 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-34-5 | 40-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 24-16-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-18-1 | 21-14-0 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 19-15-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||