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Denver at Memphis

  Tuesday Jan 31, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN | Odds: Denver by 1.5, Total Points: 200.5 | Team Pages: DEN | MEM

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MEM
Points 89.5 89.8
Total Points   179.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.9 68.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 7.6
Points From Free Throws 21.8 14.0

Shooting DEN MEM
Field Goals Made 30.4 36.6
Field Goals Attempted 94.5 77.9
Field Goal % 32.2% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 34.1
2 Pointers Attempted 75.2 60.1
2 Point Shooting % 31.2% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 2.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 14.2%
Free Throws Made 21.8 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 29.4 18.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 75.0%

Ball Control DEN MEM
Rebounds 77.6 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 40.0 6.0
Turnovers 22.4 19.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.6
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 17.9 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MEM
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 119.6 88.9

% of Possessions with DEN MEM
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 54.8%
3 Point Attempt 13.4% 16.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.6%
Turnover 21.9% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MEM
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 58.6% 13.7%