Game Information
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | DEN | -1.5 | 208.5 | -117 |
| 504 | MEM | +1.5 | +106 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 60% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Similar Games - Game Winners | Memphis 54% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -1.5 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 2.5 | |
| MEM +1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 54% odds to cover | |
| MEM +1.5 | Decision Tree | Memphis 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 208.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 208.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -115 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.090 | 1.056 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.4% | 49.7% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.5% | 31.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.317 | |
| Points/Game | 107.7 | 102.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.3 | -0.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.063 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.6% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.321 | 0.271 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 103.1 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 5.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 18.6% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-22 | 36-33 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 3-8 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 18-24 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 30-5 | 21-15 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-33-5 | 35-32-2 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 19-23-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 17-17-1 | 16-18-2 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||