Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 11, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | DEN | -3.5 | 198.0 | -160 |
| 714 | MIL | +3.5 | +144 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 55% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 58% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee loses by 1.0 | |
| MIL +3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Milwaukee 56% odds to cover | |
| MIL +3.5 | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 198.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 198.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +144 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.090 | 1.017 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.4% | 48.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.5% | 26.0% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.381 | 0.238 | |
| Points/Game | 107.7 | 98.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.3 | +1.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 0.999 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 48.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.2% | 14.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.6% | 77.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.321 | 0.353 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 96.3 | |
| Block % | 6.1% | 6.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 21.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 47-22 | 37-30 | |
| vs Division | 10-4 | 9-5 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 30-5 | 23-9 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 14-21 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-33-5 | 43-23-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-3 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-21-5 | 29-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 17-17-1 | 20-11-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-4 | 23-12-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||