Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | NWJ | +12.5 | 178.0 | +760 |
| 512 | MIA | -12.5 | -1000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 90% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 91% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -12.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami wins by 15.7 | |
| MIA -12.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 51% odds to cover | |
| NWJ +12.5 | Decision Tree | New Jersey 61% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 178.0 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go under 178.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.970 | 1.031 | |
| Effective FG % | 45.5% | 49.1% | |
| Turnover % | 13.2% | 11.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.0% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.304 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 91.1 | 96.2 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -10.3 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.080 | 1.021 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.8% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 13.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 71.4% | 74.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.320 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.4 | 95.3 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 7.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.3% | 20.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-61 | 35-34 | |
| vs Division | 3-12 | 8-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-36 | 21-19 | |
| Streak | L6 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-29 | 20-16 | |
| Away | 4-32 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWJ | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-39-1 | 34-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 19-22-1 | 20-20-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-21-0 | 17-19-0 | |
| Away | 17-18-1 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||